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Barack
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Bob A
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Joined: 10 Aug 2006
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Location: Tucson

PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:00 pm    Post subject: Barack Reply with quote

Barack Obama just officially announced his presidential candidacy this morning. He has said of his inexperience that only those who have been president have the qualifications to be president (in Bush's case even that obviously wasn't true).

My question to this esteemed pannel is, what do you guys think of him? Is he legit? Would you prefer him over HIllary?
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DesertKnight
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Obama certainly has the brains and the charisma to be a very good president, and he would certainly be able to get more done than Hillary (because no Republican would put aside the bitterness long enough to work with her). That said, I'm still hoping Richardson wins the Democratic nod.
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TAP
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:08 pm    Post subject: Re: Barack Reply with quote

Bob A wrote:
My question to this esteemed pannel is, what do you guys think of him? Is he legit? Would you prefer him over HIllary?

what do you guys think of him? Is he legit? Charismatic speaker, but I don't yet know nearly enough about his executive plans once he's inside 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. I'll stay tuned.

Would you prefer him over HIllary? Based on my limited knowledge of Obama to date, YES over Hillary.

And I'm sure Bill would prefer Obama over Hillary too, saving him that dirty task. Embarassed
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moviegeekjn
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:16 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've read both of his books and am very impressed. He seems like the real deal indeed--very level headed, analytical, and possessing tremendous ability to work with people of diverse views and backgrounds--a true "uniter."

Highly recommend his latest book to get a better idea of the man. I wrote up a review here
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Bob A
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 7:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I am in the process of finsihing his second book right now. He is obviously a brilliant man but it remains to be seen how much he really knows about baseball...
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matt
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 10:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

America will NOT vote for a black man to be POTUS. Someday it will happen, but not yet.
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TAP
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 11:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

matt wrote:
America will NOT vote for a black man to be POTUS. Someday it will happen, but not yet.

Matt I respectfully disagree on this one. I think it will be the Muslim fear (trojan horse president for the terrorists?) raised by Hillary that will kill his chances rather than his skin color. Colon Powell could have won in 2000 had he chosen to run, and I think without the spectre of fear regarding Obama's past that the Clinton legbreakers will stir up, Barack would be electable in '08.
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matt
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 12:18 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'm not saying that everyone is so outright racist, just that there are a lot of people who think they aren't but wouldn't want their kid to marry a black person.

Powell is a different case. He had that general thing to work.

I actually think it would be far easier for a black man to get elected running for teh GOP than the DEMs.
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whatuwant
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 1:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Chances are the Democratic candidate will be someone OTHER than Barack or Hillary...if you look at the last couple of major primaries, its always been a candidate that comes out of nowhere....

Howard Dean was a favorite, then Kerry and Edwards became the frontrunners; Bill Clinton was the same way; look for someone like Wes Clark or Bill Richardson (1st Mexican American president??) to come out on top; they were both vehemenently anti-war and both have good experience. (Clark as a joint Chief, and Richardson as UN rep)
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Dre
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I definitely think Obama's muslim roots and early upbringing will be his downfall. But hey, I'm a die hard Republican so that's fine by me.
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TAP
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 11:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dre wrote:
...I'm a die hard Republican...

Dre
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Chicago and Republican in the same post? This is just the kind of incongruency that will usher in the apocalypse. I can see Richard J. Daley riding through dark clouds now with two of the the four horsemen on each flank. Surprised
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Bob A
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 1:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I worry about Obama for one reason. Not what he will do if he is elected but rather how he will handle the slings and arrows Rove and the Republicans will throw at him over the next 20 months or so, especially if he becomes the Democratic candidate.

He has never really been through an ugly campaign before. He moped the floor with Alan Keyes and didn't really have to get his hand dirty. Is he too nice a guy to go toe to toe with the opponents?
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moviegeekjn
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 3:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bob A wrote:

He has never really been through an ugly campaign before. He moped the floor with Alan Keyes and didn't really have to get his hand dirty. Is he too nice a guy to go toe to toe with the opponents?


He would need an "outside" hatchet man for those kind of duties, as it goes against everything he believes in to fight a nasty mudslinging campaign.
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Bob A
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 6:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Okay, so who IS the Democratic Karl Rove?
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EvilJuan
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 6:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My greatest concern with potential candidate (and so, potentially, President) Obama is -- what has he done? IIRC, he's a first-term Senator -- yes?

Like it or not -- like him or not -- at least Dubya was a two-term state governor. Believe me, I'm not here schilling (a little Diamondbacks baseball humor, that...) the Dubya administration. Heck, Clinton was also governor of Arkansas -- prob'ly 2 terms as well -- I simply don't remember.

I'd probably be more comfortable with the Obama candidacy if he got a bit more experience before running, and possibly being elected. He's young -- he's got time!
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DesertKnight
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 7:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

EvilJuan wrote:
I'd probably be more comfortable with the Obama candidacy if he got a bit more experience before running, and possibly being elected. He's young -- he's got time!


I don't think he sees inexperience as a problem--in fact, given the state of affairs in DC, it might very well turn into an asset. And while he's young and he's got time, right now he has buzz and momentum. Schilling might think those sound like strippers, but in the political world, they often matter more than good ideas.
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tmar
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 7:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think you could run "inexperience" as an asset if it were done right. My personal opinion is that the more time they spend in politics the more weighted down with favors they become and ergo less effective.

I believe I mentioned this before, but I think Hillary's people will destroy Obama.
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whatuwant
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 11, 2007 10:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

tmar wrote:
I think you could run "inexperience" as an asset if it were done right. My personal opinion is that the more time they spend in politics the more weighted down with favors they become and ergo less effective.

I believe I mentioned this before, but I think Hillary's people will destroy Obama.


the inexperience strategy was used in the 94 midterms by republicans, saying that the dems had gone "insider" and whatnot; so you're right inexperience means an independent candidate
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rgndvo
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PostPosted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 12:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I tried reading obama's second book but it was too phony for me. I went into it with high hopes cause I had liked what Id heard to that point.

As for his electability, I think he could do it depending on how the chips fall between now and then. We're going to have to pick between a woman, a hispanic, an african american or a republican. I wouldnt give better odds to one of the four over the other at this point.
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Counsell
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 2:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think everyone will agree that the big issue in 2008 will almost certainly be foreign policy.

So anyone who is relatively inexperienced will obviously be operating under a tremendous disadvantage. An example of inexperience in that area being problematic was Jimmy Carter (who I voted for twice, sadly - I admit my mistakes), who was taken to the cleaners by both the Soviet Union (Afghanistan invasion) and Iran (hostage crisis).

I think right now Obama is sort of the "flavor of the month" and once people get a real picture of who he is RIGHT NOW they will back off due to his total lack of foreign policy experience. But he's probably a great choice for V.P. I know that's not how people are looking at it right now, but that will CHANGE.

It's not his youth - it's his inexperience. Clinton was young, but foreign policy was less important in '92 than in any other election going all the way back to the Depression. The same with Carter - Vietnam was over and the ONLY issue was integrity. Theodore Roosevelt and JFK were also young, but they were war heroes.

And then, ON TOP OF THAT, he's black and Muslim. Politically, that's a VERY steep uphill climb - to say the least.

But who else can do it? That's a tough question. Hillary can win the nomination, but not the general. That hasn't stopped the Democrats before, though! (i.e., McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry)

I think the most electable candidate in the general they have might be Richardson, but he's got a HUGE uphill climb to win the nomination.

So as it stands now, I predict another Democratic kamikazee mission - Hillary. Will Obama be her running mate? Maybe not, because: 1) They can't win anyway, because it's Hillary and he knows it; and 2) Running without at least one white man at the top of the ticket probably is not very realistic.
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 3:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Counsell wrote:
I think everyone will agree that the big issue in 2008 will almost certainly be foreign policy.

So anyone who is relatively inexperienced will obviously be operating under a tremendous disadvantage. An example of inexperience in that area being problematic was Jimmy Carter (who I voted for twice, sadly - I admit my mistakes), who was taken to the cleaners by both the Soviet Union (Afghanistan invasion) and Iran (hostage crisis).

I think right now Obama is sort of the "flavor of the month" and once people get a real picture of who he is RIGHT NOW they will back off due to his inexperience. He's probably a great choice for V.P. I know that's not how people are looking at it right now, but that will CHANGE.

It's not his youth - it's his inexperience. Clinton was young, but foreign policy was less important in '92 than in any other election going all the way back to the Depression. Theodore Roosevelt and JFK were also young, but they were war heroes.

And then, ON TOP OF THAT, he's black and Muslim. Politically, that's a VERY steep uphill climb - to say the least.

But who else can do it? That's a tough question. Hillary can win the nomination, but not the general. That hasn't stopped the Democrats before, though! (i.e., McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry)

I think the most electable candidate in the general they have might be Richardson, but he's got a HUGE uphill climb to win the nomination.

So as it stands now, I predict another Democratic kamikazee mission - Hillary.


I dont think Obama is actually muslim - wasnt he a muslim as a child, and is now christian? (For the record - i could care less, and am agnostic myself)
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moviegeekjn
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 3:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Counsell wrote:

It's not his youth - it's his inexperience. Clinton was young, but foreign policy was less important in '92 than in any other election going all the way back to the Depression.
Point of order... One of Clinton's strengths was actually in the foreign policy area--he had traveled pretty extensively (remember how Republican attack dogs attempted to cast doubt on his patriotism with attempts at disparaging exactly what Bill was doing at Oxford and later Russia during his student days). Clinton was always intently interested in foreign policy, so he studied this area and developed a number of key contacts in this field.

A huge part of being an effective President is surrounding yourself with a team of intelligent, sane, and effective administrators/advisors. I wouldn't worry about O'bama's apparent lack of experience. He's no lightweight who will be intimidated by avoiding intelligent, competent people for his team.
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David B
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 3:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Counsell wrote:
But who else can do it? That's a tough question. Hillary can win the nomination, but not the general. That hasn't stopped the Democrats before, though! (i.e., McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry)


How can you lump Kerry into that group? He basically missed being President by one state (Ohio). The electoral vote count difference was certainly respectable (286-252).
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Counsell
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 3:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I voted for Kerry, but he had no chance. He did the best that he could have, from a vote-getting standpoint. It may sound trite, but he was just too liberal on the issues.

I think he ran an excellent campaign, the best he could possibly have run. Realistically, he got all the votes he could have gotten. Yes, he made a few mistakes, but all candidates make some mistake in every campaign. Bush also made some mistakes. But Kerry kept them to the absolute minimum. Kerry put his foot in his mouth a LOT more before he ran AND after he ran.

The Democrats need to nominate someone from the middle - or even better - from their right (which overall is middle or even left). They have not elected a liberal since FDR. Kennedy was considered a moderate, as was Clinton. Carter was considered to be between conservative and moderate. How they actually acted as President is a separate matter, from a practical standpoint.
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moviegeekjn
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PostPosted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 4:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Counsell wrote:

The Democrats need to nominate someone from the middle - or even better - from their right (which overall is middle or even left). They have not elected a liberal since FDR. Kennedy was considered a moderate, as was Clinton. Carter was considered to be between conservative and moderate. How they actually acted as President is a separate matter, from a practical standpoint.
Those labels are useless... Kennedy was not painted as particularly "moderate" back in 1960. There wasn't the negative stigma about being progressive or liberal back then. Hell... the Republicans even had a number of really prominent "liberals" during those years--Charles Percy, John V. Lindsay, and Nelson Rockefeller to name a few.

The opposition ALWAYS tries to paint their opponent as being too far to the right or left... when virtually every time (esp. of late) the candidates on both sides always lean toward the moderate side... and that include Kerry, as well.

He did NOT run a particularly good campaign. Especially if there was a sizable number of people who actually thought he was a "liberal"
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