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levski
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 7:22 am Post subject: Spoilers? |
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Anyone wants to buy used car parts?
Just kidding...
After today, the Dbacks have 13 games against NL west foes in contention for the wild card/division. 3 vs. LAD, 3 vs. SFG, and 7 (!) vs. SDP. At 71-77, the Dbacks would need to go 6-8 in the remaining 14 games to match their 77-85 record from last year, and at least 7-7 to improve. 10-4 stretch would give them .500 record, but that might be a stretch 
Anyhow, I'd love to see the Dbacks string together an awesome two-week shellacking on the NL west and push the Phillies into the playoffs...
So, what is AZ's final record going to be? Let's hear it for the dolphins, let's hear it for the trees...
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Joe Girardi is ten feet tall,
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Me and Frenchy walk a ton.
And Tony Pena cuts in line... |
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levski
Veteran Presence
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 7:31 am Post subject: |
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fwiw, Bpro's latest have the Dbacks finishing with... 77 wins...
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php
_________________
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Joe Girardi is ten feet tall,
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Me and Frenchy walk a ton.
And Tony Pena cuts in line... |
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baldmaga
Journeyman
Joined: 11 Aug 2006
Posts: 491
Location: Louisiana
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:29 am Post subject: |
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80-82 |
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shoewizard
Hall of Famer
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:04 am Post subject: |
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How about a 12-2 stretch and they make the playoffs as the WC?  |
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levski
Veteran Presence
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Posts: 1763
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:12 am Post subject: |
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shoewizard wrote: |
How about a 12-2 stretch and they make the playoffs as the WC?  |
Amen, brother.
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National League
W L GB Left
San Diego (14) 77 70 -- 15
Philadelphia 76 72 1.5 14
San Francisco 74 74 3.5 14
Florida 74 74 3.5 14
Cincinnati 73 75 4.5 14
Houston 71 76 6.0 15
Arizona 71 77 6.5 14
Atlanta 71 77 6.5 14
Colorado 68 80 9.5 14
Milwaukee 67 81 10.5 14
Washington 64 84 13.5 14
Pittsburgh 62 87 16.0 13
Chi Cubs 60 89 18.0 13
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Even though they might have to go 13-1 just to make sure... or better yet, 14-0.
_________________
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Joe Girardi is ten feet tall,
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Me and Frenchy walk a ton.
And Tony Pena cuts in line...
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Robert S.
Everyday Player
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 530
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 11:34 am Post subject: |
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Wins for Webb; losses for everyone else. Improve draft position. |
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levski
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 1763
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 12:29 pm Post subject: |
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Unless you have one of the top 3 picks, Robert, the difference between #4 and #14 is pretty insignificant. Plus, almost every year a player drops down because of signability/agent issues.
The main reason to have a top 15 pick was that you wouldn't lose your first rounder if you signed a type A free agent. If that's eliminated, then it really makes no difference whether you draft 11th, 15th, or 19th.
_________________
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Joe Girardi is ten feet tall,
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Me and Frenchy walk a ton.
And Tony Pena cuts in line... |
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Robert S.
Everyday Player
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 530
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 1:02 pm Post subject: |
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levski wrote: |
Unless you have one of the top 3 picks, Robert, the difference between #4 and #14 is pretty insignificant. Plus, almost every year a player drops down because of signability/agent issues.
The main reason to have a top 15 pick was that you wouldn't lose your first rounder if you signed a type A free agent. If that's eliminated, then it really makes no difference whether you draft 11th, 15th, or 19th. |
In a macro sense, sure. In any given year, though? Hell no. Contrasted with the alternative - pride. Yeah, I'll take the extra losses and be happy to do so.
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dirtygary
Everyday Player
Joined: 11 Aug 2006
Posts: 903
Location: Phoenix
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 1:05 pm Post subject: |
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Have we lost since the Gonzo thing broke?
I can totally see a "Major League" moment in the locker room before the game that day.
BoMel: "You may have heard that this is gonna be the last go round for Gonzo"
Byrnes: "Then there's only one thing left to do. Win the whole F*cking thing"
Q: "Yeah"
The next day, BoMel has some full-size figure of Kendrick, and he says:
BoMel: "We have 14 games left. I figure it's gonna take 13 wins to have a shot at the Wild Card. Every time we win, we peel a piece."
And he peels the first piece of what will be Kendrick in one of those mankinis stretched over his shoulders like Borat.
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matt
Veteran Presence
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Location: Researching my theory that a lime hat is more effective than tinfoil
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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Umm, sure gary, whatever turns you on  |
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dirtygary
Everyday Player
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Posts: 903
Location: Phoenix
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 2:07 pm Post subject: |
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I was going for humor. Have you seen that "Borat" picture?
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ncdbackfan
MLB Rookie
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Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 7:13 pm Post subject: |
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now we know why you go by "dirty" gary.  |
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