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Conor Jackson .809 OPS Up or Down ? |
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Dangerfield
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Posted: Tue Dec 19, 2006 9:11 pm Post subject: |
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http://www.baseball-reference.com/s/simmote01.shtml
I bet you could splice them them together, at the plate, and it would be pretty darn close.
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foulpole
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Posted: Tue Dec 19, 2006 9:44 pm Post subject: |
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coolwater wrote: |
I worry about his somewhat shaky defense only ... |
Understatement of the year...And Katrina was just a small monsoon.
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dirtygary
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Posted: Wed Dec 20, 2006 3:29 pm Post subject: |
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foulpole wrote: |
coolwater wrote: |
I worry about his somewhat shaky defense only ... |
Understatement of the year...And Katrina was just a small monsoon.
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CJ's defense improved considerably after the first month last year. Not even close to resembling the player I saw in Tucson. He's scoopin throws out of the dirt, which he used to struggle wtih.
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matt
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Posted: Wed Dec 20, 2006 4:23 pm Post subject: |
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Reading things about how much he's improved makes you wonder how bad it actually was.  |
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Dangerfield
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Posted: Wed Jan 10, 2007 11:59 am Post subject: |
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cj in the 3 hole, I'd like him to come in with a bb/k ratio, over .9 and hopefully under 20 hr's. 330/400/510 95 rbi's.
That's if he's in the 3 hole. Hopefully he doesn't need to be the rbi guy again. He could make a run for the batting title if doesn't have to expand his strike zone.
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wabaseball34
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Posted: Wed Jan 10, 2007 1:45 pm Post subject: |
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i voted up, no doubt. I think this year, Co-Jack is really going to come around. |
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Posted: Thu Jan 25, 2007 11:46 pm Post subject: |
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Josh Byrnes acknowledged the Diamondbacks never actively sought a power hitter who could fill the club's lack of a traditional No. 4 man in the lineup. They went without one last year after failed experiments of bringing in the likes of Richie Sexson and Troy Glaus.
"Lineup construction can be a funny thing," Byrnes said. "Our record was very good when Conor Jackson was our cleanup hitter last year. We might not have that prototypical No. 4 guy, but I think we're going to have eight very good hitters, bench players who can hit, and I think we'll be looking at a lineup where every spot can hit 10 and several spots might hit 20 homers. So I think there's a lot of danger in the lineup."
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tmar
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Posted: Fri Jan 26, 2007 8:26 am Post subject: |
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Not to bring Hairston into everything but I wonder if any of that reads that JB is planning on keeping Hairston.
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bench players who can hit, |
I'm assuming this is Hairston, Davanon and Callaspo.
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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Hank wrote: |
Given Conor's second half, I think he is going to have a breakout year offensively, including a decent uptick in his power. Thus, I voted up. |
Conor's 2006 season
1st half: .272/.370/.402
2nd half: .312/.365/.485
Sep/Oct: .337/.385/.537
With continued development, 2007 will be huge for Conor.
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stu
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:35 pm Post subject: |
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The 4 hitter leads off an inning a surprising number of times. Jackson's OBP should be the determinitve factor here and it is a no brainer between Byrnes and CJ for number 4. Also a walk to keep an inning alive, move along the runners and place some more pressure on the pitcher is not a bad thing even with men on base.
Jackson, as is typical of rookies, got shafted by the umps last year at least in the early part of the season. I thought he handled it well. Complaining but not making an ass of himself. I know some of the announcing crew disagreed with this an thought he was complaining too muc, but you have to stand for youself and Melvin wasn't doing it for CJ.
I think his stats at the close of the year and being optimistic for next year are in some small part the result of getting fairer calls from the umps. I don't see CJ as a consistent 900 OBP guy but a 380 OBP and 460 slugging are very realistic and may be low. I'm voting up with a bullet on this one. |
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whatuwant
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:01 pm Post subject: |
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dirtygary wrote: |
I finally figured it out. Jackson is a poor man's Eric Karros, but with a higher OBP, less SLG. I'm sure this can be shredded with stats, etc., but they just seem to have very similar games, swings (although CJ is more squatted), fielding styles, etc.
I think that CJ is a 20-25 HR, plus OBP guy. He just doesn't seem to have the natural pop and ability to be a consistent 30+ HR player. But he's a great player to have at a controlled price. Hopefully we can develop a guy that makes us think that we can lose CJ and be just fine. |
http://www.baseball-reference.com/k/karroer01.shtml
check out Karros' career...i would argue that Jackson's rookie year is better than karros' first three...you?
this bodes well i hope
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Dre
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 4:33 pm Post subject: |
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whatuwant wrote: |
dirtygary wrote: |
I finally figured it out. Jackson is a poor man's Eric Karros, but with a higher OBP, less SLG. I'm sure this can be shredded with stats, etc., but they just seem to have very similar games, swings (although CJ is more squatted), fielding styles, etc.
I think that CJ is a 20-25 HR, plus OBP guy. He just doesn't seem to have the natural pop and ability to be a consistent 30+ HR player. But he's a great player to have at a controlled price. Hopefully we can develop a guy that makes us think that we can lose CJ and be just fine. |
http://www.baseball-reference.com/k/karroer01.shtml
check out Karros' career...i would argue that Jackson's rookie year is better than karros' first three...you?
this bodes well i hope
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I hope at the end of CoJack's career that Eric Karros will be referred to as a poor man's Conor Jackson. I was surprised that Karros's stats were as good as they were. His #s are better than I expected. I guess he was never really an impact bat in my mind. In that regard, I think Jackson will definitely be an impact type "pitch around" bat.
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stu
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 5:41 pm Post subject: |
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I see very few similarities between Karros and Jackson. Just looking at the k/w shows the clear difference. Karros was much more of a free longer swinger without Jackson's strike zone judgment. Jackson has a much better approach at the plate. I will be disappointed if Jackson has Karros' career although Karros did have a few very good years.
They are right handed first baseman though. |
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shoewizard
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 5:44 pm Post subject: |
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No kidding.....Karros had a career .325 OBP, and it wasn't just because of Chavez Latrine. Neutralized his OBP only goes up to .327
I with you Stu.....Jackson's upside better be much better than Karros' |
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stu
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 5:52 pm Post subject: |
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Simmons (a very underrated player) is actually better stat comp when you adjust for park and era. About 20 point over park adjusted league average in OBP puts Simmons at around a 372 OBP in 2006 at Chase and slugging at about a 480. These are reasonable numbers for Jackson for his career with a higher peak, of course.
Now, Simmons was shorter, lighter, a catcher, had a different swing and stance, and was a switch hitter, but why sweat the small stuff. |
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Dangerfield
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 5:58 pm Post subject: |
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They'll be what Simba's numbers would of been in a hitter friendly park, and if Simmons was a first baseman. Cojack could hit 350 with 400 obp, that much I'm sure of. He has to work for his power, which I don't like seeing guys do, because it leads to bad habits. There is a ceiling to his power right now, but if he starts dropping the head of the bat on those inside pitches, that he's hooked foul for homers, of course he won't see those pitches again mind you, his power numbers go up...but 15-25 would be his ceiling if he does it naturally, on mistake pitches. Anymore comes at the expense of average/ and habits.
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Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 6:05 pm Post subject: |
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Dangerfield wrote: |
They'll be what Simba's numbers would of been in a hitter friendly park, and if Simmons was a first baseman. |
If only they'd pulled in the walls at Busch while Ted was still there. Loved watching him play when I was a kid back in Illinois.
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