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Whom to protect, whom to let go?

 
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TAP
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 12:53 am    Post subject: Whom to protect, whom to let go? Reply with quote

...or the spirit of Dan Uggla redux.

Nick Piecoro tonight wrote:
With the Arizona Fall League getting under way today, decision season goes into full swing.

For the Diamondbacks, one year after losing Dan Uggla in the Rule 5 draft, again there will be no shortage of tough 40-man roster decisions facing them next month.

The fall league will provide a glimpse of a handful of Diamondbacks players who are in their protection year, meaning the club must add them to the roster by Nov. 20 or risk losing them to another big-league club.

That's what happened last year with Uggla, who was snapped up by Florida and went on to become one of the majors' best offensive second basemen in 2006.

Depending on a player's age when he first signs a pro contract, he must be protected after either his third or fourth Rule 5 draft. Several players in Arizona's system who fit that description had strong minor league seasons.

Infielders Emilio Bonifacio, Danny Richar, Alberto Gonzalez and Mark Reynolds, outfielder Carlos Gonzalez and right-hander Ross Ohlendorf appear to be locks to be protected.

Right-hander Steven Jackson, left-hander Evan MacLane, first baseman Chris Carter and infielders Brian Barden and Jerry Gil also appear to be candidates for protection, but some could get caught in a numbers game.

The Diamondbacks roster will be at 35 after subtracting their four free agents, and a handful of others could be candidates to be removed.

Then there's infielder Andy Green, whose agent said Monday that he expects Green to be elsewhere - with another major league organization or a team in Japan - in 2007.

Even so, Arizona could be left with more prospects to protect than spots available.

With several prospects in Tucson for the club's instructional league, and with others - including Reynolds, Richar and Jackson - playing for Scottsdale in the fall league, player evaluations will be ongoing this fall.
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levski
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 4:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

bump...

http://forum.diamondbacksbullpen.org/viewtopic.php?t=187

Quote:
Infielders Emilio Bonifacio, Danny Richar, Alberto Gonzalez and Mark Reynolds, outfielder Carlos Gonzalez and right-hander Ross Ohlendorf appear to be locks to be protected.

Right-hander Steven Jackson, left-hander Evan MacLane, first baseman Chris Carter and infielders Brian Barden and Jerry Gil also appear to be candidates for protection, but some could get caught in a numbers game.


Josh Byrnes has got the middle infield disease, courtesy of an Uggla reflux. Roster Prevacid!

Man, the Dbacks are going to have some tough tough decisions. All the more reasons to let Miggy walk, make Green big in Japan, and especially part with Clark. Just bite the bullet and let him go...
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matt
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 8:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think we can count on Jerry Gil staying unprotected...
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B. O. N. D.
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 8:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jerry Gil? Rolling Eyes

He's such a tease.

126/18 K/BB between AA and AAA 2006. 24 yo on Thursday.
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McCray
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 10:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

steven jackson better get protected.
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 10:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree... was trying to figure out when he pitches - i will be there to "scout"..
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McCray
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 10:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

if you find out when he's pitching, let me know. i'd love to see him too.
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 10:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

An AFL schedule can be found here (apoligize if posted already)
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xjwheelr
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 10, 2006 12:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I just wanted to give Kudos to Tap for correctly using "whom" in the title of this thread.

March on, soldiers of the English language! Laughing
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VIII
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 13, 2006 5:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

GOodbye Gil
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moviegeekjn
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 13, 2006 10:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

xjwheelr wrote:
I just wanted to give Kudos to Tap for correctly using "whom" in the title of this thread.

March on, soldiers of the English language! Laughing


But did TAP master that usage.... from English classes, or more from years of of headbanging to Metallica's Ride the Lightning album? Wink
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TAP
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 13, 2006 10:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

moviegeekjn wrote:
xjwheelr wrote:
I just wanted to give Kudos to Tap for correctly using "whom" in the title of this thread.

March on, soldiers of the English language! Laughing


But did TAP master that usage.... from English classes, or more from years of of headbanging to Metallica's Ride the Lightning album? Wink

g1 mg. Laughing

Actually, Ride the Lightning came after my high school headbanging years.
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matt
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 13, 2006 11:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

moviegeekjn wrote:
xjwheelr wrote:
I just wanted to give Kudos to Tap for correctly using "whom" in the title of this thread.

March on, soldiers of the English language! Laughing


But did TAP master that usage.... from English classes, or more from years of of headbanging to Metallica's Ride the Lightning album? Wink


That is just too cool that someone your age made that connection!
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moviegeekjn
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PostPosted: Fri Oct 13, 2006 11:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

matt wrote:

That is just too cool that someone your age made that connection!


I've been a big blues fan for a number of years, and one of my stronger high school chess players (and music aficianado) introduced me to a number of heavy metal artists (have been to a few concerts and own a few albums, including the first ever big event held at America West Arena... which happened to be Metallica).

Went to Sundance Film Festival a couple years ago, and the highlight was a screening of Metallica: Some Kind of Monster. Highly recommend that documentary--surprising to see such an intimate behind the scenes look like this.
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levski
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 12:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

From the link above (message 2), following up:

Code:
40-Man Roster

     Pitchers    B/T    Ht    Wt    DOB   
     41 Greg Aquino    R/R    6-1    190    01/11/78
     A: 37 Juan Cruz    R/R    6-2    155    10/15/78   
     55 Casey Daigle    R/R    6-5    250    04/04/81   
     O: 31 Edgar Gonzalez    R/R    6-0    225    02/23/83   
     49 Enrique Gonzalez    R/R    5-10    210    07/14/82   
     61 Livan Hernandez    R/R    6-2    245    02/20/75   
     A: 50 Jorge Julio    R/R    6-1    235    03/03/79   
     A: 38 Brandon Lyon    R/R    6-1    195    08/10/79   
     28 Brandon Medders    R/R    6-1    190    01/26/80   
     57 Dustin Nippert    R/R    6-8    225    05/06/81   
     56 Tony Pena    R/R    6-1    220    01/09/82   
     62 Mike Schultz    R/R    6-7    220    11/28/79   
     63 Doug Slaten    L/L    6-5    200    02/04/80   
     A: 47 Jose Valverde    R/R    6-4    255    07/24/79   
     A: Claudio Vargas    R/R    6-3    230    06/19/78   
     A: Luis Vizcaino    R/R    5-11    185    08/06/74   
     17 Brandon Webb    R/R    6-2    230    05/09/79   

     Catchers    B/T    Ht    Wt    DOB   
     A: 23 Johnny Estrada    S/R    5-11    215    06/27/76   
     60 Miguel Montero    L/R    5-11    195    07/09/83   
     19 Chris Snyder    R/R    6-3    230    02/12/81   

     Infielders    B/T    Ht    Wt    DOB   
     44 Alberto Callaspo    S/R    5-10    175    04/19/83   
     34 Tony Clark    S/R    6-7    245    06/15/72       
     6 Stephen Drew    L/R    6-1    185    03/16/83       
     10 Andy Green    R/R    5-9    180    07/07/77
     A: 1 Orlando Hudson    S/R    6-0    185    12/12/77   
     16 Conor Jackson    R/R    6-2    225    05/07/82   
     18 Chad Tracy    L/R    6-2    200    05/22/80   

     Outfielders    B/T    Ht    Wt    DOB   
     A: 22 Eric Byrnes    R/R    6-2    210    02/16/76   
     30 Jeff DaVanon    S/R    6-0    200    12/08/73 
     9 Scott Hairston    R/R    6-0    200    05/25/80   
     7 Carlos Quentin    R/R    6-1    225    08/28/82   
     24 Chris Young    R/R    6-2    180    09/05/83     


A = Arbitration eligible. Note that I've taken out all of AZ's free agents. I also took out Bajenaru who was removed from the roster and cleared waivers. If AZ resigns him, it'll be to a minor league deal.

I count 32 people on the 40 man roster. The 40 man rosters before the rule 5 draft have to be finalized sometime by the end of November, so the Dbacks have plenty of time to make some trades, if necessary.

So let's say AZ keeps all 32 players and decides to protect 8 prospects; and let's say that the candidates, per Piecoro's column, are:

Quote:
Infielders Emilio Bonifacio, Danny Richar, Alberto Gonzalez and Mark Reynolds, outfielder Carlos Gonzalez, right-hander Ross Ohlendorf ...
Right-hander Steven Jackson, left-hander Evan MacLane, first baseman Chris Carter and infielder Brian Barden


That's 10 people for 8 spots, and Piecoro didn't even mention Jamie D'Antona who could attract attention if he looks good in the AFL, especially if he shows enough signs that he could handle the catcher position.

Time to DFA Clark, I say... And let Green leave for Japan...
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 1:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Great update. Thanks for the detail.

Anyone picked in the rule 5 would have to stay on the drafting teams 25 man roster all year, correct?

Would any team want to keep Barden on their 25 man all year? The "worst teams" would seem to all have 3b pretty much taken care of, right?

I am just guessing who they might gamble with if they decided to expose someone to the draft.

I think A. Green will be gone regardless....but I would be mildly surprised if they DFA'd Clark. It's the right move of course, but I would still be surprised.

Perhaps they make a multi player or 2 for 1 trade that opens up a spot or two. Don't forget they want to get a starter and a "middle of the order" bat. So thats two spots you need,....but Estrada will most likley go....so then you'd be down to 1 additional spot for a traded in.
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dirtygary
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 2:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think they'll DFA Clark. It'd be one thing if he was coming off a productive season and we watched him play, but he's been gone for a while and I don't think there would be much made of it. The guy is bald/grey. We need the roster spot, specifically to be able to protect the young guys like D'Antona, etc. Also, other teams might be more likely to take a chance on one of our guys cuz of what Uggla did this year. Once we show Gonzo and Counsell the door, all bets are off. Nobody's untouchable.

If we're looking to add a middle of the order bat, who's projected to be the best cost/production for the next three years in LF or 3/1B?
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Tucson DBacks Fan
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 4:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Clark is not costing the team much money. He's a veteran presence, and he's willing to be a reserve. He has a lot of pop in his bat and last year he was injured. He is a decent fielding first baseman. if he is healthy next year, he could make a nice comeback. I wouldn't mind seeing the Diamondbacks keeping him until spring training is going to see how he's come off his injuries to better predict if he'd come back with a season like 2005 or like 2006.
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Oden
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 5:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

TCBF speaks the truth, people. He's already signed for $1M, he's a switch hitter with some pop and he fully accepts being a reserve. All pluses. Have to at least see how he's doing in March before you make a decision on the guy, because I think the 40-man will be fine going into the Rule 5 (although I need to verify that). He's gray, but he's not Gonzo old.

If we see the same Clark in the spring that we saw last year and Carter looks to be improved at all with the glove, go ahead and let Clark go. Carter is not ready to be a full-time NL 1st baseman IMO, if he ever will be. He's a DH in my book, but I can keep an open mind. His LH bat would be nice off the bench. Plus, he can reminisce with Quentin about Palo Alto.
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 5:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Heading us off at the pass before we run with the
Veteran Presence TM comment? Twisted Evil

Like you said, they may be able to resolve the 40 man issues. But if having Clark on the roster means losing anyone of those guys on the list to the rule 5 draft, do you think it's worth it?

I don't know....just asking.

I don't think his issues were just the shoulder.......he looked old and totally slower with his swing from spring training on, before he injured his shoulder.
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Oden
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 5:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I need to see who all needs to be protected before I can say. But I can guarantee that Byrnes will not make the mistake he made last year with Uggla ever again. He'll have the 40-man under control before the Rule 5. Of course, if it's a question of keeping him or a minor leaguer of value, I don't mind dumping $1M. If keeping Clark until spring is not an issue, it's a no-brainer for reasons stated above.
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Pilgrim 33
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 7:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Would anyone be surprised if Daigle is moved? He had a 3.60 ERA at the big league level but that was mostly luck. Opposing hitters hit well over .300 against him. They hit over .300 against him at AAA as well where he posted a 4.60 ERA in four times as many innings, a far better sample size. His strikeout to inning pitch ratio at that level does not suggest that he's overpowering enough to step it up consistently at the big league level. He had good numbers as a reliever at Double-A in 2005, but that was at Tennessee and after he spent time in the big leagues as a starter in 2004. I think he might be a victim of the number crunch or included in a trade while he still has some prospective value.
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Oden
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PostPosted: Sun Oct 15, 2006 7:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

He probably hasn't run out of chances, but I'll put it this way. There are any number of other pitching prospects in the D-backs system I'd rather keep. If he's gone, it's because he's stuck in a numbers game. Personally, I don't see him doing anything in the majors other than middle to long relief. Shoe doesn't call his fastball moose dick straight for no reason.
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