Diamondbacks Bullpen

[Dylan]

Sorry Lev, CJ isn't going to put up that much power nor is he going to walk less than he Ks next year.

I think those 40 2B and 25 HR are a peak. But then I remember saying 40 2B back on the azcentral board when shoe and I were talking about him compared to Grace, Magaden, and....Casey? 25 HR though, no way.

[levski]

[Dangerfield]

From a pseudo scout's perspective. I mostly hate looking at stats, because it kills the potential of what I see. Now that being said , my new favorite cliche... The worst thing that could happen to Conor Jackson, is to worry about power himself, or be pressured into power, because it would come at the expense of his beautiful line-drive swing. NOw, he could probably turn into a Jeff Kent type hitter, right now, but it would limit his ability to hit .300-350. He'll hit .300 if this is a weak offense next year. The .350 top range comes in, if everyone else is slammin. Now, if he is below .300 its because he was trying to add more power to his swing, himself. He projects to be 20-30 hr guy, now. You stat guys will get around to that, just from his projections. 16-20, is what he's going to hit, if he gets himself out of sorts going for homers. Once he does that, his average, and doubles will sink too though.

See Chad Tracy this year. HOpefully he saw what Chad T did this year, and avoids becoming a Chad T, because there's no reason for it. the most important thing Conor can do for himself, is continue to be a line-drive hitter, and go for batting titles. The power will be there in a couple of years, but hopefully he finds batting titles more fun.
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[shoewizard]

After gettting to watch him closely all year, I don't have a problem at all envisioning him topping 25 homers at some point in his career ....I just don't see it in 2007.

However, if you look at his hit chart, every one of his 8 homers hit at Chase Field were dead pull shots to left, right over Stu's beer cup.

Jackson hit chart

He had about 4, maybe 5 doubles that were hit to deep center or deep right center that did not have enough juice to get over the wall. He did not show any opposite field homerun power in 2006.

If his homer totals are going to jump to 25-30, the first clue you will have is a couple of those opposite field shots start going over the wall.

Edit: I just spent a few minutes looking up his road homers on the hit chart too. (You have to go one by one, referencing his splits to find them)
It's amazing really, EVERY ONE of his homeruns but two were in the exact same spot in left field....(equivalent of the 376 sign in Chase). They almost all seem to travel about 385-400 feet in almost the exact same spot. Uncanny.

Two of his homeruns were right down the line.

If he starts to feel he needs to hit more homers, and thinks the only way he can do so is to try to pull everything, then of course his average will plummet.

Maybe keeping that homerun pressure that Rodney refers to off of Jackson is a good reason to go get a bopper. Levski's mancrush on Burrell may be satiated after all.

[matt]

I was checking out Conor's hit chart after you mentioned it and he isn't really getting any doubles to the right side. Quentin had a pretty even distribution. Quentin could end up being that bopper for us.

[Dangerfield]