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adamf
Draft Pick
Joined: 04 Dec 2006
Posts: 2
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 Posted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 12:58 am Post subject: Montero:Project Prospect's No. 2 rookie catcher for 2007 |
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My writers and I ranked Miguel Montero as the No. 2 rookie catcher entering 2006.
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shoewizard
Hall of Famer
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 3244
Location: In front of my computer
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| Posted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 5:33 am Post subject: |
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Hey Adam, thanks for coming by and introducing your site. Lots of prospect junkies here. I am sure you will get lots of hits from people here.....especially if you keep pimping Arizona prospects. We like that!  |
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McCray
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 1555
Location: clawing my eyes out, praying for sleep. booyah.
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| Posted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 11:22 am Post subject: |
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thanks adam! a good read as always.
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Hank, you're dead to me. |
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misterx
MLB Rookie
Joined: 12 Nov 2006
Posts: 138
Location: do you really care
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| Posted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 6:16 pm Post subject: |
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| nice work |
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adamf
Draft Pick
Joined: 04 Dec 2006
Posts: 2
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| Posted: Fri Dec 08, 2006 7:57 pm Post subject: |
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| Thanks guys. It's nice to finally find a good crowd of D'Backs fans. |
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shoewizard
Hall of Famer
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 3244
Location: In front of my computer
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| Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 12:35 pm Post subject: |
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Baseball prospectus ranks Catching Prospects.Link
They have Montero #3, but there is a big dropoff from 2 to 3. Here is their comment
| Quote: |
Notice the huge drop-off in the scores; we’ve gone from two elite prospects to guys with a lot of asterisks pretty quickly. Miguel Montero is a known commodity who has done nothing but hit for the past two years, save for a brief stint at Tennessee in 2005. This is a very common profile for a decent catching prospect--average in just about everything but speed (none) and size (short for a contemporary ballplayer). PECOTA doesn’t see a ton of growth for Montero or necessarily a long career; like the scouts, it generally prefers players who have at least one Grade-A skill to work from. But being average-to-above throughout his arbitration years is going to be valuable. |
Even though my projections have Montero putting up better numbers than Snyder, if I were picking today for my fantasy draft, and I had to choose between Snyder and Montero, I would take Snyder.
Edit:
Just saw BP's correction, making Montero 4th, not 3rd
Unfiltered
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Aaron
MLB Rookie
Joined: 14 Aug 2006
Posts: 117
Location: Los Angeles, CA
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| Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 8:25 pm Post subject: |
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| shoewizard wrote: |
Baseball prospectus ranks Catching Prospects.Link
They have Montero #3, but there is a big dropoff from 2 to 3. Here is their comment |
You should add that this isn't their official ranking, but rather the straight statistical PECOTA ranking. I think they said their official Top 100 list (compiled almost exclusively by Kevin Goldstein) will be put online sometime next week.
Silver's PECOTA rankings are very interesting, nonetheless.
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levski
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 1765
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| Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 11:06 pm Post subject: |
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I trust PECOTA a lot more when it has enough meaningful statistics on a player to run projections. Bryan Anderson? I mean, please...
He might be a good prospect in terms of talent and tools, but a stats-based projection system can tell me squat about him right now... |
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dirtygary
Everyday Player
Joined: 11 Aug 2006
Posts: 903
Location: Phoenix
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| Posted: Thu Feb 08, 2007 9:18 am Post subject: |
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| shoewizard wrote: |
| Even though my projections have Montero putting up better numbers than Snyder, if I were picking today for my fantasy draft, and I had to choose between Snyder and Montero, I would take Snyder. |
Yes. I'm not sold on Montero, and Snyder is finally coming into his own. I think it's just bad timing for Montero, and Snyder will always be just a tad more developed. Can't ignore the minor league numbers and the age comps between them.
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