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shoewizard
Hall of Famer
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 3242
Location: In front of my computer
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 Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2006 4:21 pm Post subject: Carlos Lee |
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It's amazing to me in this day and age, that a guy like Carlos Lee is on the verge of getting 5 years, 75 million or something stupid like that.
He has a career 113 OPS+ and is 30 years old. He has only had two seasons over 120 OPS+, (2006 & 2004)
His career RC/27 is 5.99, and he has never been over 7 (he was exactly 7 in 2004)
His top 3 comps through age 30 are
George Bell (out of baseball by age 33)
Kent Hrbek (out of baseball by age 34)
Raul Mondesi (out of baseball by age 34)
Dial had him at -3 in LF by the end of August....I don't know where he ranked in the end.
His 47.2 VORP ranks 38th in the majors.
BP had him at only 4.7 WARP1
Yet, SOME team is going to look at his friggin RBI totals and WAY overpay him.
Amazing. Simply amazing. |
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Hank
Journeyman
Joined: 11 Aug 2006
Posts: 366
Location: Phoenix
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| Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2006 4:24 pm Post subject: |
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| At least we can be thankful that it won't be the Diamondbacks. |
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shoewizard
Hall of Famer
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 3242
Location: In front of my computer
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| Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2006 4:27 pm Post subject: |
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Under the old regime, you just know that he would be considered a replacement for Gonzo....
check that...under the old regime, Gonzo would have been given a 3 yr. extension for hitting 50 doubles and Quentin would have been traded for Jason Marquis because he is a proven winner. |
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EvilJuan
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 1871
Location: Phoenix, AZ
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| Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2006 5:19 pm Post subject: |
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| shoewizard wrote: |
Under the old regime, you just know that he would be considered a replacement for Gonzo....
check that...under the old regime, Gonzo would have been given a 3 yr. extension for hitting 50 doubles and Quentin would have been traded for Jason Marquis because he is a proven winner. |
Maybe by next year, the DBBP can add a podcasting capability.
The scenario above would have been an excellent script idea for the baseball equivalent of Orson Welles' Mercury Theater "War of the Worlds" broadcast on Hallowe'en... 
_________________
Is It Next Season Yet? 
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levski
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 1763
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| Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2006 7:45 pm Post subject: |
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Burrell's 117 career OPS+ doesn't look so bad right now, does it? 
Not to mention the Phillies will kick in enough cash to make him "cheap".
_________________
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Joe Girardi is ten feet tall,
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Me and Frenchy walk a ton.
And Tony Pena cuts in line... |
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levski
Veteran Presence
Joined: 10 Aug 2006
Posts: 1763
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| Posted: Tue Oct 31, 2006 7:53 pm Post subject: |
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while we're at it, projections for 2007 free agent hitters from
http://lanaheimangelfan.blogspot.com/
projections can be found here
http://home.comcast.net/~briankaat/freeagenthit.htm
check out gonzo's projections:
.251/.339/.383, with 29 2b and 12 hr in 592 at bats.
here's hoping he signs with san francisco
_________________
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Joe Girardi is ten feet tall,
Old school Hollywood baseball,
Me and Frenchy walk a ton.
And Tony Pena cuts in line... |
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