Diamondbacks Bullpen

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

10 games - 81.8% - Memphis
11 games - 40.3% - Houston
12 games - 35.4% - Portland
13 games - 25.2% - Minnesota
14 games - 17.8% - Washington
15 games - 14.2% - NY Knicks
16 games - 10.5% - Milwaukee
17 games - 7% - Cleveland
18 games - 4.6% - Minnesota
19 games - 2.2% - San Antonio
20 games - 1.4% - Utah
21 games - 0.9% - Denver
22 games - 0.8% - Portland
23 games - 0.7% - Atlanta
24 games - 0.4% - Chicago
25 games - 0.4% - Seattle
(AS Break)
26 games - 0.2% - LA Clippers
27 games - 0% - Boston

Real tough one is the houston game in houston where the model thinks the suns are only looking at only a 50.7% chance at a win. if they get past the houston game though, the model predicts the possibility that they make it through to the next time they fact houston in phoenix (march 12)

12 games - 86.4% - Portland
13 games - 62.2% - Minnesota
14 games - 42.7% - Washington
15 games - 35.1% - NY Knicks
16 games - 26.5% - Milwaukee
17 games - 15.7% - Cleveland
18 games - 10.3% - Minnesota
19 games - 5.2% - San Antonio
20 games - 3.7% - Utah
21 games - 2.6% - Denver
22 games - 2.3% - Portland
23 games - 1.9% - Atlanta
24 games - 1.3% - Chicago
25 games - 1.2% - Seattle
26 games - 0.7% - LA Clippers
27 games - 0.5% - Boston
28 games - 0.4% - Minnesota
29 games - 0.3% - Atlanta
30 games - 0.3% - Indiana
31 games - 0.3% - Philadelphia
32 games - 0.2% - Indiana
33 games - 0.2% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.2% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.2% - New Orleans
36 games - 0% - Houston

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

Tonights win leaves them at a 10.3% shot to go to 18 games and end january without a loss. San antonio to start february is the next real challenge.

Hank · Posted: Thu Jan 18, 2007 4:46 pm Post subject:

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

Cleveland is predicted to win 38% of the time against the suns which is still a pretty comfortable cushion. The other two are in the low 30's. Even without citing that, I think cleveland, minnesota, and washington are all capable of defeating them but the suns should still be favored by 5+ points. Dallas and san antonio though should be a coin flip almost as predicted.

Updated after tonights win
13 games - 72% - Minnesota
14 games - 49.5% - Washington
15 games - 41.3% - NY Knicks
16 games - 31.2% - Milwaukee
17 games - 18.1% - Cleveland
18 games - 12.3% - Minnesota
19 games - 6.4% - San Antonio
20 games - 4.6% - Utah
21 games - 3.3% - Denver
22 games - 2.7% - Portland
23 games - 2.3% - Atlanta
24 games - 1.7% - Chicago
25 games - 1.6% - Seattle
26 games - 1% - LA Clippers
27 games - 0.7% - Boston
28 games - 0.6% - Minnesota
29 games - 0.5% - Atlanta
30 games - 0.5% - Indiana
31 games - 0.5% - Philadelphia
32 games - 0.4% - Indiana
33 games - 0.3% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.3% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.3% - New Orleans
36 games - 0% - Houston

1 in 8 shot to finish january without a loss at 18 wins in a row

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

updated after tonights win vs. minny

14 games - 68.9% - Washington
15 games - 56.8% - NY Knicks
16 games - 43.3% - Milwaukee
17 games - 25.7% - Cleveland
18 games - 18% - Minnesota
19 games - 8.9% - San Antonio
20 games - 6.2% - Utah
21 games - 4.5% - Denver
22 games - 3.8% - Portland
23 games - 3.3% - Atlanta
24 games - 2.4% - Chicago
25 games - 2.1% - Seattle
26 games - 1.3% - LA Clippers
27 games - 1% - Boston
28 games - 0.8% - Minnesota
29 games - 0.7% - Atlanta
30 games - 0.7% - Indiana
31 games - 0.7% - Philadelphia
32 games - 0.5% - Indiana
33 games - 0.4% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.4% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.4% - New Orleans
36 games - 0% - Houston

TAP · Posted: Sun Jan 21, 2007 8:24 pm Post subject:

qudjy1 · Veteran Presence Joined: 10 Aug 2006 Posts: 1074

is it just me, or have the suns have made some sort of deal with the devil - as they seem to face alot of teams without thier best player..

Hank · Posted: Sun Jan 21, 2007 8:34 pm Post subject:

TAP · Posted: Sun Jan 21, 2007 8:40 pm Post subject:

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

Updated after beating washington tonight. still none of them make it past houston in game 36

15 games - 81.2% - NY Knicks
16 games - 61.5% - Milwaukee
17 games - 36.1% - Cleveland
18 games - 25.2% - Minnesota
19 games - 12% - San Antonio
20 games - 7.7% - Utah
21 games - 5.6% - Denver
22 games - 4.8% - Portland
23 games - 4.2% - Atlanta
24 games - 2.9% - Chicago
25 games - 2.6% - Seattle
26 games - 1.6% - LA Clippers
27 games - 1.2% - Boston
28 games - 1% - Minnesota
29 games - 0.9% - Atlanta
30 games - 0.8% - Indiana
31 games - 0.8% - Philadelphia
32 games - 0.6% - Indiana
33 games - 0.5% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.5% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.5% - New Orleans
36 games - 0% - Houston

Hank · Posted: Tue Jan 23, 2007 8:21 pm Post subject:

If they can just get the next two they will beat the 15 game streak from earlier in the year and set another Suns record.
_________________
Killing McCray's dreams since 2006.

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

updated tonight after the nyknicks win. Looking darn good to finish january without a loss but the damn rockets keep ending us at 36 games

16 games - 75.1% - Milwaukee
17 games - 45.5% - Cleveland
18 games - 31.3% - Minnesota
19 games - 15.1% - San Antonio
20 games - 10.1% - Utah
21 games - 7.4% - Denver
22 games - 6.4% - Portland
23 games - 5.6% - Atlanta
24 games - 4.2% - Chicago
25 games - 3.6% - Seattle
26 games - 2.4% - LA Clippers
27 games - 1.8% - Boston
28 games - 1.3% - Minnesota
29 games - 1.1% - Atlanta
30 games - 1% - Indiana
31 games - 1% - Philadelphia
32 games - 0.8% - Indiana
33 games - 0.7% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.6% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.6% - New Orleans
36 games - 0% - Houston

Hank · Posted: Thu Jan 25, 2007 5:24 pm Post subject:

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

17 games - 61.2% - Cleveland
18 games - 41.4% - Minnesota
19 games - 19.4% - San Antonio
20 games - 13.2% - Utah
21 games - 9.6% - Denver
22 games - 8.2% - Portland
23 games - 7.3% - Atlanta
24 games - 5.6% - Chicago
25 games - 4.8% - Seattle
26 games - 3.4% - LA Clippers
27 games - 2.7% - Boston
28 games - 1.9% - Minnesota
29 games - 1.6% - Atlanta
30 games - 1.4% - Indiana
31 games - 1.3% - Philadelphia
32 games - 1.1% - Indiana
33 games - 0.9% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.7% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.7% - New Orleans
36 games - 0% - Houston

rgndvo · MLB Rookie Joined: 07 Dec 2006 Posts: 113

18 games - 67.3% - Minnesota
19 games - 29.6% - San Antonio
20 games - 20.6% - Utah
21 games - 14.6% - Denver
22 games - 12.6% - Portland
23 games - 11.1% - Atlanta
24 games - 8.9% - Chicago
25 games - 7.1% - Seattle
26 games - 4.5% - LA Clippers
27 games - 3.5% - Boston
28 games - 2.6% - Minnesota
29 games - 2.2% - Atlanta
30 games - 1.9% - Indiana
31 games - 1.5% - Philadelphia
32 games - 1.3% - Indiana
33 games - 1% - LA Lakers
34 games - 0.8% - Charlotte
35 games - 0.8% - New Orleans
36 games - 0.1% - Houston
37 games - 0.1% - Dallas
38 games - 0% - Detroit