Figured I'd open a thread regarding 2016 projections

link to AZ Snakepit post

Right now only have steamer projections. They have D Backs at 16.8 Pitching WAR and 15.6 Position Player WAR, 32.4 WAR +48 WAR replacement level means roughly 81 WIN team.

i really can't be bothered going through the hassle of lining up the columns here....but go to snakepit link for clear table. Read the disclaimer too.

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

Well done! Thanks!!!

Looking at the roster, it became clear that despite any pieces added, the dbax will only go as far as the unproven young players take them. You can bank on Greinke/Goldy's production, but that's about it.

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What can we say about the Diamondbacks Franchise that hasn't already been said about Afghanistan?

Great point . I'd probably put Pollock in there too. He's gonna give you at least 3-4 oWAR I would gather. (thats WAR counting him as an average fielder)

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

ZiPS projections

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Kevin Towers, not smarter than the so called experts

lol Salty isn't even on the team anymore. I hate our corner OF'ers. C'mon Brito....

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"Tomorrow is not promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

Yeah, Dan acknowledged that. It's just a spreadsheet and because of the way it's staggered in release, sometimes signed or traded players don't show up on the right teams during the slow release period.

Anyone unsigned is usually shown on the most recent team they were on.

Anyway, if you look at the depth chart portion, they show Hermann, not Salty

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

So here are links to several articles about ZIPS and also Steamer

ZIPS projects 86 wins for AZ using my playing time projections

ZIPS and Steamer rate stats

Jim's ZIPS overvierw

May need to update shortly if Kendrick rumors are true

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... edictions/

has the dbacks going 82-80 30% chance of making the playoffs 14% chance of winning the division and a 2% chance of winning the World Series

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Winning may not be everything, but losing has little to recommend it.

sounds close to what I think. Pre Pollock injury I had them about 86 Wins.......

But with Pollock hurt and Chris Owings getting majority of CF playing time, and the starting pitching as bad as it's been, 82-80 seems about right.

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

Yeah, it's about right. Glass half-full: Pollock out, SP has sucked and yet they're 10-10. If/When the SP will correct itself and the team stays healthy they can be in the race in July when they can trade away some more prospects to make a run with Pollock in the 2nd half.

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"Tomorrow is not promised to any of us." - Kirby Puckett

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Per Mare, Per Terras
KC

Oden if thats glass half full, I don't want any part of glass half empty

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

before the start of the season some projections had the dbacks 70 something wins maybe they were on to something

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Winning may not be everything, but losing has little to recommend it.

I wouldn't get too worried. Dave Stewart said:

Worst-case scenario is the team goes 62-60 the rest of the way.

http://insidethezona.com/2016/05/diamondbacks-projections-2016-right-all-along-goldschmidt-greinke-miller-pollock/

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Kevin Towers, not smarter than the so called experts

Ahem....

Posted about 7 hours before the linked article

Glad I could be of some help.

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan

I wondered why it looked so familiar.

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There's no success like failure
And failure's no success at all

If only

In order to end up 82-80 they need to go 53-42, 11 games over .500 the rest of the way

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Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan