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Akinori Otsuka
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Oden
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 14, 2006 5:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mulder isn't ready at the start of the year, so I don't think that cramps AZ's style for finding one of the young guys to start the year. How much do they really want to keep Livan? Once Mulder would be ready, there is space available.
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 14, 2006 6:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shoewizard wrote:
Otsuka has 3 years of control left.


I didnt know that was the case - Japan player and all.. SO he is treated like every other player under 6 years of mlb? DOes 3 years of control really matter when the guy is going to be 38?

Regardless, you still would be giving up a young starter (who i personally tthink has potential) for a 35YO reliever. Maybe our scouts / talent evaluators see rique as a reliever too... Just seems awefully young to give up on..

I guess the problem i have is that this is the kind of deal that would probably be good for AZ in 2007, but may really stink after that (Enriques entering prime years, Otsuka in old age)... So then the question is, Do we really think we will compete in 2007?
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TAP
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 1:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shoewizard wrote:
By Jack Magruder, Tribune
December 13, 2006
While the D-Backs will not talk about trade proposals for fear of tipping their hand, it is believed they have at least discussed parameters of a deal, if not made actual proposals, for Otsuka and Pittsburgh closer Mike Gonzalez, also on the market.

Rob Biertempfel in the December 15th Pittsburgh Tribune-Review wrote:
The Arizona Diamondbacks are searching for a closer and dangled first baseman Chad Tracy in exchange for Pirates closer Mike Gonzalez. However, the Diamondbacks appeared to have switched their focus to making a deal with the Texas Rangers for Akinori Otsuka.

Tracy supposedly was offered for Gonzalez. Would Tracy bring Otsuka? Akinori's had a great 3-year run in SD and TX, but he'll be 35 years old on opening day.
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baldmaga
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 8:17 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't even see why we are trying to get a closer...especially if we have to give up Tracy. If they really have lost all confidence in him and are trying to to sell high...is the 35 year old Akinori Otsuka the best they can do?
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Oden
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 9:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't think the fact that a reliever is 35 is a point of concern.
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 9:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Oden wrote:
I don't think the fact that a reliever is 35 is a point of concern.


Why not? Relievers are less likely to decline?
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Espo
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

oops missed it above sorry.

Last edited by Espo on Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:31 am; edited 1 time in total
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TAP
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Espo wrote:
he Arizona Diamondbacks are searching for a closer and dangled first baseman Chad Tracy in exchange for Pittsburgh's Mike Gonzalez. However, the Diamondbacks appeared to have switched their focus to making a deal with the Texas Rangers for Akinori Otsuka
pittsburghlive.com

déjà vu?
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Oden
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

"Why not? Relievers are less likely to decline?"

Sure, if you want to generalize. I'm saying that's not a deal-breaker by any means with this guy. Why should it be?
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Espo
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If you trade Chad Tracy for a reliever who would play 3B for this team? I think it would have to be part of a larger trade plan. You can't take away a key part of your offense for a bullpen arm.
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Dangerfield
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.baseball-reference.com/friv/scomp.cgi?I=tracych01:Chad+Tracy&st=int&compage=25&age=25

Littlefield should of hopped on Laroche and Davies, a for Gonzo and then packaged one of his big 3 lefties, for second/or thirdbaseman. Sanchez is capable of playing either.Nady came into his own last year, he's an adequate right fielder.

I really think, trading Chad T will be a mistake in the end.
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Last edited by Dangerfield on Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:37 am; edited 1 time in total
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
According to the New York Post, it's a long shot that the Mets will acquire Akinori Otsuka from the Rangers.

Texas is believed to be in more serious talks with the Diamondbacks, who could offer multiple young starters like Enrique Gonzalez, Dustin Nippert and Juan Cruz. Also, the Rangers should have some interest in Scott Hairston's right-handed bat (he'd be one terrific sleeper in Texas). The Diamondbacks reportedly previously offered Chad Tracy to the Pirates for Mike Gonzalez, but that didn't work.
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

My concern would be to trade a 24 year old with potential, for a 35 YO pitcher with alot of innings on his arm (in Japan) when we really arent going to compete this year (maybe thats the fault in my logic - are we competing this year?). When does Otsuka figure to start to decline?


EDIT: Ok - Maybe he doesnt have as much milage on his arm as i thought...

I dont know... it wouldnt be the worst - i just feel quesy about it...
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think JB looks at the Dodgers, and how their offense appears to be weakened quite a bit from last year, and figures if their bullpen breaks down, or Jason Schmidt does not return to 2003-2004 form, they really are not that formidable.

So there is a chance the D backs could sneak in and steal the west...and of course they would control Otsuka for 3 years, so in addition to having him for 2007, they would have him for the supposed pennant runs of 2008-2009 too.

Clearly they don't have confidence in Valverde or Julio to hand either of them the job for an entire year again, and there is nobody else on the team they feel comfortable with in that role either.

I am not defending ANYTHING.....I don't like giving up alot of young talent for a reliever, even a very goodone, which is what Otsuka is. We have been burned in the past, but keep in mind this is not Randy Choate we would be getting back. Or even Matt Mantei. Otsuka may be 35 next season, but he has been pretty healthy in his career I believe.
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Dangerfield
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

qudjy1 wrote:
My concern would be to trade a 24 year old with potential, for a 35 YO pitcher with alot of innings on his arm (in Japan) when we really arent going to compete this year (maybe thats the fault in my logic - are we competing this year?). When does Otsuka figure to start to decline?


EDIT: Ok - Maybe he doesnt have as much milage on his arm as i thought...

I dont know... it wouldnt be the worst - i just feel quesy about it...


my question would be second year in a pitchers park, his bb rate soared. His second/third time around, does his deception disappear.
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 10:55 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

5 of his walks and 11 of his earned runs came in 1.1 IP in Chase Field in 2005. He actually did well against the d backs in San Diego that year, it was here that he got killed.

Weird

In NON Chase Field appearances in 2005 he threw 61.1 IP, walked 29 and gave up 14 earned runs. (2.05 ERA)
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Dangerfield
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

lefty/righty split?
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Slightly higher walk rate vs. lefty's in 2005, but overall, actually much more effective vs.l LHB

2005 Splits Page
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qudjy1
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shoewizard wrote:
Slightly higher walk rate vs. lefty's in 2005, but overall, actually much more effective vs.l LHB

2005 Splits Page


What are your thoughts on older relievers and probability of decline?

IF he was to stay at this level - the BP would become one of the stronger ones in the NL IMO...

OKtsuka, Valverde, Julio, Viscaino, Meddars, Slaten, Cruz?, down the line would be pretty damn good...
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Dangerfield
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

shoewizard wrote:
Slightly higher walk rate vs. lefty's in 2005, but overall, actually much more effective vs.l LHB

2005 Splits Page


he was pretty effective last year, wonder why Texas wants to move him?
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Aaron
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You'd have to think that Tracy for Mike Gonzo involves more than that wouldn't you? That'd open up a huge hole in the offense, Tracy's disspointing progression notwithstanding. Maybe one of Pittsburgh's young pitchers.
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dangerfield wrote:
shoewizard wrote:
Slightly higher walk rate vs. lefty's in 2005, but overall, actually much more effective vs.l LHB

2005 Splits Page


he was pretty effective last year, wonder why Texas wants to move him?


Yeah....I wonder why they signed Gagne
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shoewizard
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Aaron wrote:
You'd have to think that Tracy for Mike Gonzo involves more than that wouldn't you? That'd open up a huge hole in the offense, Tracy's disspointing progression notwithstanding. Maybe one of Pittsburgh's young pitchers.


The way it's being reported, the D backs offered Tracy for Mike Gonzo, and pitt rejected them.
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 11:56 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I guess I need to come to terms with the fact that Scott Hairston will never be allowed to help the DBacks. If that is the case, getting someone of Otsuka's caliber would be great.
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 15, 2006 12:53 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

shoewizard wrote:
Dangerfield wrote:
shoewizard wrote:
Slightly higher walk rate vs. lefty's in 2005, but overall, actually much more effective vs.l LHB

2005 Splits Page


he was pretty effective last year, wonder why Texas wants to move him?


Yeah....I wonder why they signed Gagne


PV manlove fantasies
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