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Eric Byrnes .795 OPS, Up or Down |
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24% |
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76% |
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Total Votes : 25 |
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shoewizard
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 9:37 am Post subject: Eric Byrnes .795 OPS, UP or Down? |
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Lets try not to let the desire of most of us to see him traded cloud our objectivity on this one. |
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TAP
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 9:46 am Post subject: |
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Eric's career OPS, including last year, is .771. Unless Barry's recently introduced Eric to Victor Conte, his OPS going forward isn't likely to increase at 31-years of age. |
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Dangerfield
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 9:56 am Post subject: |
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It'll be way up next year. If he wasn't for the 4 hole last year, he probably would of hit .280. Don't discount, high iq, high energy, guys. If he puts his mind to being a great baseball player it'll happen.
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Hank
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 9:59 am Post subject: |
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TAP wrote: |
Eric's career OPS, including last year, is .771. Unless Barry's recently introduced Eric to Victor Conte, his OPS going forward isn't likely to increase at 31-years of age. |
What TAP said, although I don't think the decline will be dramatic.
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EvilJuan
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 10:07 am Post subject: |
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Down. Probably not by much, but down nevertheless.
The only way out would be if he was platooned -- but I've already expressed my lack of confidence in Melvin in this reqard.
And yes, Eric Byrnes should be traded.
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matt
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 10:23 am Post subject: |
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I voted down, I don't think it will be down by much but it will be slightly down. However, I agree with EJ that if he is platooned properly it could be up by quite a bit. |
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qudjy1
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 11:01 am Post subject: Re: Eric Byrnes .795 OPS, UP or Down? |
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shoewizard wrote: |
Lets try not to let the desire of most of us to see him traded cloud our objectivity on this one. |
Egg before chicken... I think the reason most of us wanted EB traded because we think his future production will not reach 2006 levels..
down.
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Oden
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 11:17 am Post subject: |
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If he's used more appropriately this year it should go up, no? So, I say slightly down. He's bested .795 only once in his career, so I'm going with the odds and BM's stupidity on this guess.
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shoewizard
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 11:46 am Post subject: |
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Dangerfield wrote: |
If he puts his mind to being a great baseball player it'll happen. |
So whats he been doing up till now? NOT putting his mind to being the best player he can be?
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Dylan
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 11:54 am Post subject: |
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shoewizard wrote: |
Dangerfield wrote: |
If he puts his mind to being a great baseball player it'll happen. |
So whats he been doing up till now? NOT putting his mind to being the best player he can be?
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Lazy assed slacker.
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qudjy1
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 11:57 am Post subject: |
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Dylan wrote: |
shoewizard wrote: |
Dangerfield wrote: |
If he puts his mind to being a great baseball player it'll happen. |
So whats he been doing up till now? NOT putting his mind to being the best player he can be?
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Lazy assed slacker.
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Yeah... i think we should trade him...
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McCray
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 1:29 pm Post subject: |
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i vote down. he just seems really easy to exploit at the plate -- all those IF pop ups. if he's platooned, he might beat that mark... but the FO has shown us they won't platoon "the face of the franchise", so why expect it in EB's case?
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stu
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 2:25 pm Post subject: |
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While his OPS may not have been as high his OPS+ was. Of the years that Byrnes played regularly in one city (just 3 years), last year was his lowest OPS+.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/b/byrneer01.shtml
I'm voting up although I am not as bullish on him as I was last year. |
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foulpole
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 4:41 pm Post subject: |
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I'm guessing up. DaVanon missed about the last 1/3 of the '06 season and if he is healthy I feel that will help Byrnes' numbers with platooning and some blow time for Byrnesie. |
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levski
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 6:28 pm Post subject: |
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Dangerfield wrote: |
It'll be way up next year. If he wasn't for the 4 hole last year, he probably would of hit .280. Don't discount, high iq, high energy, guys. |
Well, you're probably right...
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=byrneer01&year=2006
Which is why Bob Melvin will bat him 4th in 146 games next year...
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If he puts his mind to being a great baseball player it'll happen. |
Or he might develop a hemorrhoid...
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JoshByrnesWhenIPee
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 7:12 pm Post subject: |
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Quote: |
Don't discount, high iq, high energy, guys. |
The guy's admitted that he only watches Fox News. He can't be that bright.
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dirtygary
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Posted: Thu Dec 21, 2006 10:27 pm Post subject: |
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EB isn't a "marquee" player, he's a role player. As soon as Melvin puts him in clean-up, he's gonna choke. Especially in the everyday role.
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Dylan
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 6:45 am Post subject: |
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foulpole wrote: |
I'm guessing up. DaVanon missed about the last 1/3 of the '06 season and if he is healthy I feel that will help Byrnes' numbers with platooning and some blow time for Byrnesie. |
I thought this was a good argument when I first read it, but then I realized that that was the plan when LHB and veteran OFers Gonzo and Green were on the corner spots. Now with RHB and rookies at the other two spots, we could see DaVanon replacing them more than Byrnes.
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shoewizard
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 8:08 am Post subject: |
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Now with RHB and rookies at the other two spots, we could see DaVanon replacing them more than Byrnes. |
Oh...this you can take to the bank. I'll almost guarantee that.
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Dangerfield
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 9:50 am Post subject: |
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Well, you're probably right... |
get rid of that probably
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Which is why Bob Melvin will bat him 4th in 146 games next year.. |
don't get me started on his line-ups....already there's talk a guy with less than stellar obp is going in the three hole, but could be triple crown in the 5.
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Lazy assed slacker. |
Contreau....You think the guy's Ken Griffey jr.? He's not falling over at the plate because he was born with grace. He's not doing a Chevy Chase, impression, impression, on purpose when he falls on his head at the plate on a change-up. He's an Eckstein, every guy on a mlb team, even beer league team, that isn't playing is saying "I'm better than him,"....dang politics coach/management likes him over me....if he didn't have such a hot mom, he wouldn't be out there.... Now he's on the verge of 40 homer season.....
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EvilJuan
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 9:56 am Post subject: |
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Dangerfield wrote: |
Now he's on the verge of 40 homer season.....
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I think not.
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Dylan
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 10:00 am Post subject: |
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You know you're full of bullshit when you can't even agree with yourself |
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levski
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 10:01 am Post subject: |
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Dangerfield wrote: |
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Well, you're probably right... |
get rid of that probably
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well, if you are going to play the 20-20 hindsight with me, that fine. so byrnes did a lot worse in 100 at bats in the 4 spot than 400 at bats in the 1 and 2 spots. if you think that he would've done just as well in those 100 at bats had he hit 2nd, then yes, drop the "probably". but you are just gesticulating.
if you look at his career stats, he's done better in the 1 or 2 spots than the other spots (8th was ok too). so you could argue he should hit 2nd. or even 1st. you have to counter that with the fact that even then, his obp there was pretty poor, at .340... which was much better than his career obp, fwiw.
and just to shoot a big hole in your "byrnes in the 7 hole" theory... he has always sucked batting 7th. so how are you going to get the .300 ba, 30 homers from him in the 7th slot?
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=byrneer01&year=00
basically, where a player bats in the lineup isn't that important. as long as you have your best hitters getting the most at bats.
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Dangerfield
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 10:15 am Post subject: |
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I was thinking about why he was effective in the two hole. It might be because he's so high strung, that waiting to hit 7 feels like a double header, been played.
Batting him 4, was like putting McCray, pre-fiance of course, in a room full of strippers dressed like Catholic School girls.
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Oden
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Posted: Fri Dec 22, 2006 10:23 am Post subject: |
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Batting orders still matter to managers, so good or bad, they still matter. If BM putting Byrnes in a certain spot makes the opposing manager change pitchers, it matters to that effect.
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Oden
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