Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 6:17 pm Posts: 2247 Location: Oakland, CA
BOND wrote:
You guys have a great schtick! No matter what happens, good or bad, there'll be a spin... "In spite of..." "because of..."
Well what is the alternative, blatantly shilling for the organization? I'll admit that I am carrying around a lot of butthurt right now. I've gotten over a lot of it now but I'm not going to throw on blinders that tell me that bad decisions are clearly good decisions. The truth is that KT has gone all in and if his moves have a major backfire as many predict he won't be around to suffer his consequences. We will. Like a bunch of suckers, we will suffer through another series of ineptitude because this is a poorly run franchise.
David B
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 10:27 am Posts: 2002 Location: Portland, OR
BOND wrote:
You guys have a great schtick! No matter what happens, good or bad, there'll be a spin... "In spite of..." "because of..."
Which group of players would you rather have?
Upton, C. Young, Bauer, C Johnson, Shaw, Albers, Wheeler and Lindstrom
or
Prado, Ross, McCarthy, Pennington, Gregorious, E. Chavez, Bell, M. Reynolds, Sipp, Sprull, R. Delgado, Drury and Ahmed?
It's not a loaded question, but your answer will probably determine what you think about the overall direction the team is heading. Personally, I think the best hitter and potentially the best pitcher is in the first group.
EvilJuan
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 7:48 am Posts: 3445 Location: The carpark outside Milliways
David B wrote:
Personally, I think the best hitter and potentially the best pitcher is in the first group.
So do I.
I also agree with Matt, in that, if KT's moves were wrong - and I am clearly of that opinion - he'll have his millions, and move on; while we're left with the team he constructed and the loss of the potential we might have had with the players he traded away. Naturally, I'd be thrilled to find he made all the right moves, the team makes the playoffs, and goes deep into them, if not all the way to the WS. But don't expect me to hold my breath waiting for that to happen.
The 2011 Diamondbacks bore a striking resemblance to the 2007 team, in that both succeeded far beyond expectations. In both offseasons, moves were made (the trade for Dan Haren in particular comes to mind; which certainly seemed like a good idea at the time) with the goal of making the team even better, and 2008 and 2012 were supposed to be "our" years. The 2008 team fell short at the end of the season; the 2012 team was never in the race.
Frankly, I think that the 2013 edition will do well to achieve what the 2012 team did. As I've said before, I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.
_________________
Meet the new FO... Same as the old FO. The bag may be permanent.
Driaz
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 12:32 pm Posts: 1520 Location: Tucson
EvilJuan wrote:
Frankly, I think that the 2013 edition will do well to achieve what the 2012 team did. As I've said before, I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think I am.
Why do you think they will not be a .500 team?
I think we might have our first ever actual leadoff hitter in franchise history......someone with speed that can actually get on base, and our #2 hitter can get on base as well.....
We don't have a big bat in Upton anymore, sadly, but for the first time we have a top 2 in the order that should lead the team in OBP.....
I'm not saying the team is going to be better than it would of been with Upton, but I do think they will be better than they were last year.....
EvilJuan
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 7:48 am Posts: 3445 Location: The carpark outside Milliways
Driaz wrote:
Why do you think they will not be a .500 team?.
Nothing tangible that I can advance; just a gut feeling.
Mind you, I wasn't at all surprised at the less than stellar performance of the 2012 edition; and I believe I was the first to proclaim, sadly, that "this team is not going to make the playoffs." The 2011 team needed very little tinkering, in my opinion; and Trevor Cahill was most definitely not the answer, from my uninformed fanboy perspective. Things haven't improved since then. I don't have to be a genius to question the Parker, Bauer, and Upton trades; or to question the acquisition of Bell, the extension of Putz, or the deal to acquire and then extend Pennington. Gregorius the next Jeter? "I'll have what he's smoking, please..."
But, as I said - just a gut feeling. No one will be happier should the 2013 performance of the Diamondbacks prove me wrong.
_________________
Meet the new FO... Same as the old FO. The bag may be permanent.
shoewizard
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
Comparing Aaron Hill to Brandon Phillips makes the Hill signing look like a better deal
Code:
Player WAR/pos OPS+ PA G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS BA OBP SLG OPS
Aaron Hill 21.4 100 4452 1064 4059 552 1104 244 17 124 510 303 581 58 24 .272 .327 .432 .759
Brandon Phillips 17.1 96 4366 1041 3997 567 1086 202 28 130 524 260 625 139 57 .272 .322 .434 .755
Phillips signed a 10 year, 98 million deal in 2008. He is signed through age 36, or 2017. (he is 1 yr. older than Hill) and his salary the next 5 years is 60 million total. (starting with 10 m in 2013, and going up 1M each year to 14 M in 2017)
Hill is signed of course through 2016 for a total of 40 million. The avg annual from here on out is 2 million less, and one less year of obligation in 2017, and Hill is a year younger.
So this contract looks better than the one Phillips is signed to.
Thats my optimism for the day.
_________________ Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan
shoewizard
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
I would have given him a qualifying offer at the end of 2013 and gone from there. But with the prado trade and extension this was inevitable. Hill fits their profile. Gritty older players. Hope he ages well....better than history history suggests at his position. He is a dead pull hitter. If he loses any bat speed at all he will decline fast.
By the way, if anyone wants to see the "long version" of the above analysis, I posted it at the Snakepit in response to Jim's analysis HERE
We just don't know when to quit when we are ahead, and we never
_________________ Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan
shoewizard
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
I would have given him a qualifying offer at the end of 2013 and gone from there. But with the prado trade and extension this was inevitable. Hill fits their profile. Gritty older players. Hope he ages well....better than history history suggests at his position. He is a dead pull hitter. If he loses any bat speed at all he will decline fast.
By the way, if anyone wants to see the "long version" of the above analysis, I posted it at the Snakepit in response to Jim's analysis HERE
We just don't know when to quit when we are ahead, and we never
Be afraid. Very afraid. As the article states....he has ZERO trade value. Poor performance for two years, age 33, and owed 12M
There is only ONE WAY to trade him where they don't absorb almost all of his salary..............include a prospect of value in the trade and basically get nothing back except salary relief.
_________________ Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan
wedge
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
I don't really get what the hurry is to get him off the roster, just ride out his deal and be done with it after this season.
Because they want to free up cash to use towards Howie Kendrick.
But who do they have to give up to get out from under 12 M ?
Other Gm's must be licking their chops right about now.
_________________ Good depth often has to come from within, in the form of younger talent. Depth is hard to build overnight, but it’s easy to deplete. Jeff Sullivan
ReTired
Post subject: Re: Diamondbacks To Extend Aaron Hill
As a result of the Hill debacle, statistics tells us that the D-backs are due for a 30+ second baseman to be awesome. If they don't sign Kendrick, they're obviously missing out on a sure thing.
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