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 Post subject: 2017 NL MVP Race down to Wire
 Post Posted: Wed Sep 13, 2017 1:23 pm 
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Interesting year. No player stands out WAY ahead of the pack.

Below table is an avg off BB-REF WAR and Fangraphs WAR. I Included the top starting pitching candidates too.

The two highest ranked players don't play for playoff teams, (Stanton and Votto) so that is going to hurt them in the Voting, although Stanton could win it if he reaches or tops 60 homers with the presumption of innocence. (Although why we would presume anything about any player is another debate altogether) As deserving as Votto may be, I am writing off his chances.

Blackmon and Arenado "steal" votes from each other. Arenado has the RBI's, which some traditional voters really love, but other voters may ding him for Coors Field.

Goldy has torpedoed his chances by missing 5 games this month, and in the 6 games he has played, batted .080/.148/.200 so far the month of September. (Just 27 PA though)

If he gets really hot over the next 15-17 games he could jump back towards the top. But for now, he's probably on the verge of being out of it.

Scherzer doesn't have the traditional win totals needed for a SP to win the MVP, and Kershaw is probably going to lead the league in Wins and ERA despite missing so much time........but he won't win it with so few IP.

Rendon continues to be an unsung hero, but his all around game just doesn't garner the attention some of the other guys do.

I went down as deep as Pham, just to show how good he's been for St. Louis this year, and Harper, who if he had not gotten hurt would probably be at or near the top of this table.

So as of today the obvious pick is Stanton, despite not being on a playoff team, and I believe the runner up will be Arenado.

But it's all too close to call. Next 15-17 games will determine where the votes finally go. I doubt ANY voter has truly made up his/her mind.

Remember, use scroll bar at right

Code:
             bbref   fg   avg
Stanton       7.0   6.1   6.6
Votto         6.5   6.0   6.3
blackmon      5.9   6.4   6.2
Scherzer      6.8   5.3   6.1
Rendon        5.6   6.3   6.0
Arendao       6.4   5.2   5.8
Goldschmidt   5.9   5.5   5.7
Bryant        5.5   5.8   5.7
Greinke       6.1   5.1   5.6
Seager        4.9   5.6   5.3
Strasburg     5.6   4.8   5.2
Turner        5.2   5.1   5.2
Gonzalez      6.6   3.2   4.9
Pham          4.9   4.8   4.9
Harper        4.7   5.0   4.9
Kershaw       4.6   4.4   4.5

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 Post subject: Re: 2017 NL MVP Race down to Wire
 Post Posted: Wed Sep 13, 2017 4:59 pm 
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If Stanton hits 62, I think that alone might give him plenty of votes.

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 Post subject: Re: 2017 NL MVP Race down to Wire
 Post Posted: Wed Sep 13, 2017 9:18 pm 
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Justin wrote:
If Stanton hits 62, I think that alone might give him plenty of votes.


thats probably true. he ha 54, 17 games to go

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